Page 257 - 20211214_OHKF_Health_Finance_Research_Report_E (1)

Parameters Value Reference Calculations Involved
Screening
Scenario 1 and 2-screening HKD 200.00
cost per head
Screening interval (/year)
Pre-diabetes screening 1 (PHO, 2018)
interval
Low-risk screening interval 1/3 (PHO, 2018)
High-risk screening interval 1 (PHO, 2018)
Risk level prevalence
Low-risk, aged 45–54 58.80% (CHP, 2017) [average of # of individuals
between 45–54 who engage in
moderate and vigorous physical
activity in a week]
Low risk, aged 55–64 56.50% (CHP, 2017)
Low-risk, aged 65–74 52.70% (CHP, 2017)
Mortality rates
Overall mortality rate for aged 0.21% (CHP, 2021c) (death rate for men + death rate for
45–54 women)/100,000 / adjust by factor
of 2
Overall mortality rate for aged 0.46% (CHP, 2021c) (death rate for men + death rate for
55–64 women)/100,000 / adjust by factor
of 2
Overall mortality rate for aged 1.09% (CHP, 2021c) (death rate for men + death rate for
65–74 women)/100,000 / adjust by factor
of 3
Base Case and Scenario 1
Mortality rate specific to 0.85% (Jiao et al., 2018) [21.35% all cause mortality / 5
DM for aged 45–54 years / 5 adjusted by factor of 5]
Mortality rate specific to 1.86% (Jiao et al., 2018) [21.35% all cause mortality / 5
DM for aged 55–64 years / 2.3 adjusted by factor of
2.3]
Mortality rate specific to 4.27% (Jiao et al., 2018)
DM for aged 65–74
Scenario 2
Mortality rate specific to 0.32% (Jiao et al., 2018) [7.96% all cause mortality / 5 years
DM for aged 45–54 / 5 adjusted by factor of 5]
(RAMP care)
Mortality rate specific to 0.69% (Jiao et al., 2018) [7.96% all cause mortality / 5 years
DM for aged 55–64 / 2.3 adjusted by factor of 2.3]
(RAMP care)
Mortality rate specific to 1.59% (Jiao et al., 2018)
DM for aged 65–74
(RAMP care)
Mortality rate specific to 0.50% Working assumptions.
Pre-diabetes for aged 45–54 Rough “middle ground”
between overall mortality
and DM patient mortality.
Mortality rate specific to 0.60% Working assumptions.
Pre-diabetes for aged 55–64 Rough “middle ground”
between overall mortality
and DM patient mortality.
Mortality rate specific to 0.70% Working assumptions.
Pre-diabetes for aged 65–74 Rough “middle ground”
between overall mortality
and DM patient mortality.

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