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Table 4.18
Comparison of mortality in each scenario over 30-year timeline
Base Scenario Scenario 1 Scenario 2
Mortality–DM 68,507 32,525 13,757
Mortality–Prediabetes 14,521 21,762 22,133
Total prevented mortality 28,742 47,138
Cost to prevent one mortality HKD 1,091,190.59 HKD 696,794.93
Figure 4.12a
Comparison of annual gross costs over 30-year horizon in each scenario
2,500
Expenditure per Year (HKD million) 1,500
2,000
1,000
500
0
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051
Base Scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Figure 4.12b
Annual cost of complications (in those with diagnosed DM) across all
three scenarios
2,500
Expenditure in HKD million 1,500
2,000
1,000
500
0
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051
Base Scenario
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
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